Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 106.058850 122.286108 141.505530 166.330068 198.131091 238.363550 294.601215
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 83.622912 102.726383 127.720486 164.062204 217.926514 299.364757 442.772781
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 71.801601 91.490092 118.817627 161.627580 231.654436 352.458018 610.710240
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 64.461778 84.539159 113.761663 162.488783 249.448593 419.515536 866.834453
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 58.808950 78.909452 109.307404 162.703891 265.535535 491.723754 1232.844063
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 52.833018 71.944241 101.577583 155.478740 264.922895 527.420590 1558.872664
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 50.196145 69.690436 100.938030 160.538360 290.935224 647.039442 2562.356140
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 46.265554 64.955346 95.498823 155.428143 292.724898 700.979694 3496.615607
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 43.966896 62.590030 93.770541 157.197366 311.573010 828.332909 6126.247687
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 41.240385 59.263166 89.942058 153.934917 316.591541 912.361819 9875.681864
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 41.201675 60.387806 94.213912 168.723700 377.608695 1332.907995 71151.550430
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.745616 62.540957 100.684267 190.219677 473.691935 2261.042872 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.240948 59.440028 97.243431 188.984199 499.616350 2906.265579 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 36.722307 56.144562 93.121946 185.481420 517.638151 3685.390352 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.590982 53.339551 89.604046 182.669151 537.556015 4790.009979 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.010711 51.406770 87.650201 183.686412 577.181737 7114.528365 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.537335 49.541374 85.597614 183.945961 615.115590 11021.000395 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.572515 46.592732 80.870095 175.308431 599.404776 12532.764035 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.796228 45.866098 80.961775 181.353406 676.114414 30268.603728 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.300560 43.631124 77.424485 175.248093 672.298614 42117.897233 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.437282 42.578806 76.479577 177.359902 728.700875 145585.751450 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.289507 40.886682 73.887316 173.467324 738.775892 421589.472062 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.398558 41.712084 77.297250 191.167778 957.107171 NaN NaN